Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 11:00 • Stadioni Bendela
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.28) 0.68 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.6% 24.4% 15.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
2 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Merani Martvili
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saburtalo II 0 10.0% 6.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.2% 11.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 9.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSaburtalo IIMerani Martvili
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack82%55%
Defense36%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Saburtalo II Merani Martvili
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins42%23%32%50%38%44%
Draws42%23%32%17%23%20%
Loses17%54%36%33%38%36%

Form: Saburtalo II: DWLLDDLLLWWWWDLDLDLWLDWWD • Merani Martvili: LDWLWLWWWWDLLWLWWLLLDDDWW

League goals

Metric Saburtalo II Merani Martvili
HATHAT
GF total161632171431
GF avg1.31.21.31.41.11.2
GA total82331182139
GA avg0.71.81.21.51.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSaburtalo IIMerani Martvili
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%80%84%72%
1.536%24%36%40%
2.516%12%4%28%
3.512%8%0%12%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSaburtalo IIMerani Martvili
HATHAT
Clean sheets415437
Failed to score459134

Penalties

MetricSaburtalo IIMerani Martvili
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricSaburtalo IIMerani Martvili
Wins44
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-42-01-2
Biggest losses0-14-03-54-1
Goals For4432
Goals Against1454

Model comparison

MetricSaburtalo IIMerani Martvili
Form47%53%
Att60%40%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h9%91%
Goals20%80%
Total39.5%60.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Merani Martvili

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Superbet
Draw3.32 @ Marathonbet
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Superbet
No1.96 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Saburtalo II = 1.63 (league 1.28), Merani Martvili = 0.68 (league 1.14)

Merani Martvili
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saburtalo II 0 10.0% 6.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.2% 11.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 9.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.6% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 15.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1