Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 11:00 • Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.28) 0.56 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 40.3% 25.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.9%
1 - 0
19.9%
0 - 1
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Meshakhte
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samtredia 0 27.9% 15.7% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 11.2% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.1% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSamtrediaMeshakhte
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack100%55%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Samtredia Meshakhte
HATHAT
Played131225121325
Wins31%25%28%33%31%32%
Draws54%25%40%50%31%40%
Loses15%50%32%17%38%28%

Form: Samtredia: DDWDLLDDLLLDLWDDLWWLWWDDW • Meshakhte: LDDDWDLDDDWDWWWLWLDDLWWLL

League goals

Metric Samtredia Meshakhte
HATHAT
GF total171532131023
GF avg1.31.31.31.10.80.9
GA total1018286915
GA avg0.81.51.10.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSamtrediaMeshakhte
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%72%56%44%
1.532%32%16%12%
2.516%4%12%4%
3.58%4%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSamtrediaMeshakhte
HATHAT
Clean sheets5277714
Failed to score4374711

Penalties

MetricSamtrediaMeshakhte
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricSamtrediaMeshakhte
Wins23
Draws23
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-00-4
Biggest losses0-24-01-23-0
Goals For4344
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricSamtrediaMeshakhte
Form65%35%
Att65%35%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h36%64%
Goals27%73%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : Samtredia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ William Hill
Away3.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Superbet
No1.81 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Samtredia = 0.71 (league 1.28), Meshakhte = 0.56 (league 1.14)

Meshakhte
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samtredia 0 27.9% 15.7% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 11.2% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.1% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 40.3% · Away win 25.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1