Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:00 • Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.28) 1.72 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 22.8% 39.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Samtredia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merani Martvili 0 3.5% 6.0% 5.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4%
1 5.7% 9.8% 8.4% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.7% 8.0% 6.9% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.6% 4.4% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMerani MartviliSamtredia
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack56%100%
Defense78%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merani Martvili Samtredia
HATHAT
Played121426141226
Wins50%36%42%29%25%27%
Draws17%29%23%57%25%42%
Loses33%36%35%14%50%31%

Form: Merani Martvili: LDWLWLWWWWDLLWLWWLLLDDDWWD • Samtredia: DDWDLLDDLLLDLWDDLWWLWWDDWD

League goals

Metric Merani Martvili Samtredia
HATHAT
GF total171431181533
GF avg1.41.01.21.31.31.3
GA total182139111829
GA avg1.51.51.50.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMerani MartviliSamtredia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%69%73%73%
1.535%38%31%31%
2.54%27%15%4%
3.50%12%8%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMerani MartviliSamtredia
HATHAT
Clean sheets448527
Failed to score145437

Penalties

MetricMerani MartviliSamtredia
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricMerani MartviliSamtredia
Wins42
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-00-3
Biggest losses3-54-10-24-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against5424

Model comparison

MetricMerani MartviliSamtredia
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Samtredia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.86 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.77 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Superbet
No1.97 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Merani Martvili = 1.64 (league 1.28), Samtredia = 1.72 (league 1.14)

Samtredia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merani Martvili 0 3.5% 6.0% 5.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4%
1 5.7% 9.8% 8.4% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.7% 8.0% 6.9% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.6% 4.4% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 39.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1