Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Stadioni Spaeri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.82 (league 1.28) 0.88 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.8% 13.6% 8.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.9%
3 - 0
9.3%
2 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Saburtalo II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spaeri 0 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.9% 8.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.3% 8.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpaeriSaburtalo II
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack43%57%
Defense71%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spaeri Saburtalo II
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins62%54%58%38%23%31%
Draws38%31%35%46%23%35%
Loses0%15%8%15%54%35%

Form: Spaeri: DWDWWWWDWWWDWLDWWDDWWDDLWW • Saburtalo II: DWLLDDLLLWWWWDLDLDLWLDWWDD

League goals

Metric Spaeri Saburtalo II
HATHAT
GF total261844161632
GF avg2.01.41.71.21.21.2
GA total10102082331
GA avg0.80.80.80.61.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpaeriSaburtalo II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%50%62%77%
1.546%15%35%23%
2.531%12%15%12%
3.54%0%12%8%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpaeriSaburtalo II
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613516
Failed to score1345510

Penalties

MetricSpaeriSaburtalo II
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricSpaeriSaburtalo II
Wins44
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-00-4
Biggest losses—2-00-14-0
Goals For3544
Goals Against3314

Model comparison

MetricSpaeriSaburtalo II
Form47%53%
Att43%57%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h80%20%
Goals80%20%
Total63.8%36.2%

Advice: Double chance : Spaeri or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Superbet
Draw4.50 @ Marathonbet
Away6.58 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Marathonbet
No2.02 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spaeri = 2.82 (league 1.28), Saburtalo II = 0.88 (league 1.10)

Saburtalo II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spaeri 0 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.9% 8.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.3% 8.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.8% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 8.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1