Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 11:00 •
Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.28)
1.85 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.6% | 22.7% | 51.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Rustavi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merani Martvili | 0 | 4.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Merani Martvili | Rustavi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 80% |
| Attack | 31% | 69% |
| Defense | 88% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Merani Martvili | Rustavi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 46% | 36% | 41% | 79% | 31% | 56% |
| Draws | 23% | 29% | 26% | 7% | 46% | 26% |
| Loses | 31% | 36% | 33% | 14% | 23% | 19% |
Form: Merani Martvili: LDWLWLWWWWDLLWLWWLLLDDDWWDD • Rustavi: WDWWDLDDDLWLDWDWWWWWWLLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Merani Martvili | Rustavi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 14 | 32 | 22 | 18 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 19 | 21 | 40 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Merani Martvili | Rustavi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 70% | 85% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 37% | 52% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 26% | 11% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Merani Martvili | Rustavi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Merani Martvili | Rustavi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 9 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 9 |
Streaks
| Metric | Merani Martvili | Rustavi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Merani Martvili | Rustavi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Rustavi
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Merani Martvili = 1.20 (league 1.28), Rustavi = 1.85 (league 1.14)
| Rustavi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merani Martvili | 0 | 4.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 51.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1