Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 11:00 • Stadioni Bendela
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.26) 0.64 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.8% 27.1% 16.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.1%
2 - 0
12.9%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Samtredia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saburtalo II 0 12.7% 8.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.1% 11.6% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 8.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSaburtalo IISamtredia
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack50%50%
Defense69%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Saburtalo II Samtredia
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%21%30%29%23%26%
Draws46%29%37%57%31%44%
Loses15%50%33%14%46%30%

Form: Saburtalo II: DWLLDDLLLWWWWDLDLDLWLDWWDDD • Samtredia: DDWDLLDDLLLDLWDDLWWLWWDDWDD

League goals

Metric Saburtalo II Samtredia
HATHAT
GF total161733181634
GF avg1.21.21.21.31.21.3
GA total82432111930
GA avg0.61.71.20.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSaburtalo IISamtredia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%78%74%74%
1.533%22%30%30%
2.515%11%15%4%
3.511%7%7%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSaburtalo IISamtredia
HATHAT
Clean sheets516527
Failed to score5510437

Penalties

MetricSaburtalo IISamtredia
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricSaburtalo IISamtredia
Wins42
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-00-3
Biggest losses0-14-00-24-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against1424

Model comparison

MetricSaburtalo IISamtredia
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Saburtalo II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.28 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Marathonbet
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Saburtalo II = 1.43 (league 1.26), Samtredia = 0.64 (league 1.12)

Samtredia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saburtalo II 0 12.7% 8.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.1% 11.6% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 8.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.8% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 16.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1