Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 14:00 • Stadioni Spaeri
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.34) 0.69 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.8% 23.5% 14.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
2 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Gonio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spaeri 0 9.1% 6.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.5% 10.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 9.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpaeriGonio
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack55%45%
Defense55%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spaeri Gonio
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins57%50%54%29%14%21%
Draws43%29%36%14%57%36%
Loses0%21%11%57%29%43%

Form: Spaeri: DWDWWWWDWWWDWLDWWDDWWDDLWWDL • Gonio: DLDWLWDDLWLWLLWDLDDLDDLLLLDW

League goals

Metric Spaeri Gonio
HATHAT
GF total271946171431
GF avg1.91.41.61.21.01.1
GA total111223241741
GA avg0.80.90.81.71.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpaeriGonio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%54%68%93%
1.543%18%32%43%
2.529%11%11%7%
3.54%0%0%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpaeriGonio
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613112
Failed to score134549

Penalties

MetricSpaeriGonio
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricSpaeriGonio
Wins41
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-01-3
Biggest losses—2-00-42-0
Goals For3533
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricSpaeriGonio
Form64%36%
Att55%45%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total67.8%32.2%

Advice: Double chance : Spaeri or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ Bet365
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away6.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spaeri = 1.70 (league 1.34), Gonio = 0.69 (league 1.15)

Gonio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spaeri 0 9.1% 6.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.5% 10.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 9.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 14.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1