Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 11:00 • Poladi Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.28) 0.77 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.0% 23.1% 16.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Samtredia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rustavi 0 8.1% 6.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.1% 10.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.2% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRustaviSamtredia
Played55
Form100%60%
Attack100%73%
Defense91%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rustavi Samtredia
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins79%36%57%29%29%29%
Draws7%43%25%57%29%43%
Loses14%21%18%14%43%29%

Form: Rustavi: WDWWDLDDDLWLDWDWWWWWWLLWWWWW • Samtredia: DDWDLLDDLLLDLWDDLWWLWWDDWDDW

League goals

Metric Rustavi Samtredia
HATHAT
GF total222143181735
GF avg1.61.51.51.31.21.3
GA total101424111930
GA avg0.71.00.90.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRustaviSamtredia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%54%75%71%
1.554%29%29%29%
2.514%4%14%4%
3.50%0%7%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRustaviSamtredia
HATHAT
Clean sheets8513538
Failed to score134437

Penalties

MetricRustaviSamtredia
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total93

Streaks

MetricRustaviSamtredia
Wins62
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-24-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricRustaviSamtredia
Form63%38%
Att60%40%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total63.5%36.7%

Advice: Double chance : Rustavi or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Betfair
Draw4.25 @ Superbet
Away8.10 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.92 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Marathonbet
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rustavi = 1.75 (league 1.28), Samtredia = 0.77 (league 1.10)

Samtredia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rustavi 0 8.1% 6.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.1% 10.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.2% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.0% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 16.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1