Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 10:00 •
Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.28)
1.83 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.7% | 22.7% | 46.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.2%
2 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Lokomotivi Tbilisi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merani Martvili | 0 | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Merani Martvili | Lokomotivi Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 20% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Merani Martvili | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 43% | 33% | 38% | 27% | 29% | 28% |
| Draws | 21% | 27% | 24% | 47% | 29% | 38% |
| Loses | 36% | 40% | 38% | 27% | 43% | 34% |
Form: Merani Martvili: LDWLWLWWWWDLLWLWWLLLDDDWWDDLL • Lokomotivi Tbilisi: DDLDDLWDWLLWWLDDLWDDDLWWDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Merani Martvili | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 14 | 32 | 21 | 18 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 22 | 22 | 44 | 21 | 19 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Merani Martvili | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 72% | 76% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 38% | 28% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 28% | 17% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Merani Martvili | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Merani Martvili | Lokomotivi Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 8 |
Streaks
| Metric | Merani Martvili | Lokomotivi Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Merani Martvili | Lokomotivi Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 43.2% | 56.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lokomotivi Tbilisi
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Merani Martvili = 1.42 (league 1.28), Lokomotivi Tbilisi = 1.83 (league 1.14)
| Lokomotivi Tbilisi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merani Martvili | 0 | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 46.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1