Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 14:00 • Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.28) 1.40 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 23.9% 32.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Samtredia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0 4.7% 6.7% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.8% 11.0% 7.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.0% 6.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotivi TbilisiSamtredia
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack45%45%
Defense27%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotivi Tbilisi Samtredia
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins27%27%27%33%27%30%
Draws47%33%40%53%27%40%
Loses27%40%33%13%47%30%

Form: Lokomotivi Tbilisi: DDLDDLWDWLLWWLDDLWDDDLWWDLWLLD • Samtredia: DDWDLLDDLLLDLWDDLWWLWWDDWDDWLW

League goals

Metric Lokomotivi Tbilisi Samtredia
HATHAT
GF total211940201737
GF avg1.41.31.31.31.11.2
GA total212041122234
GA avg1.41.31.40.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotivi TbilisiSamtredia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%87%73%73%
1.527%40%30%30%
2.517%10%13%7%
3.510%0%7%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotivi TbilisiSamtredia
HATHAT
Clean sheets134538
Failed to score437448

Penalties

MetricLokomotivi TbilisiSamtredia
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total83

Streaks

MetricLokomotivi TbilisiSamtredia
Wins22
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-23-54-00-3
Biggest losses0-33-10-24-0
Goals For4543
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricLokomotivi TbilisiSamtredia
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Samtredia

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Superbet
Draw3.39 @ Pinnacle
Away2.63 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Superbet
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotivi Tbilisi = 1.64 (league 1.28), Samtredia = 1.40 (league 1.10)

Samtredia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0 4.7% 6.7% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.8% 11.0% 7.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.0% 6.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 32.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1