Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 09:30 • Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.34) 1.43 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 23.8% 33.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Saburtalo II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merani Martvili 0 4.6% 6.6% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.6% 10.8% 7.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMerani MartviliSaburtalo II
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack25%25%
Defense50%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merani Martvili Saburtalo II
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins35%29%32%35%24%29%
Draws35%29%32%47%24%35%
Loses29%41%35%18%53%35%

Form: Merani Martvili: LDWLWLWWWWDLLWLWWLLLDDDWWDDLLDDDLD • Saburtalo II: DWLLDDLLLWWWWDLDLDLWLDWWDDDLLDLDWW

League goals

Metric Merani Martvili Saburtalo II
HATHAT
GF total221436181937
GF avg1.30.81.11.11.11.1
GA total262652102939
GA avg1.51.51.50.61.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMerani MartviliSaburtalo II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%74%56%76%
1.529%38%32%24%
2.53%26%12%9%
3.50%12%9%6%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMerani MartviliSaburtalo II
HATHAT
Clean sheets459718
Failed to score2798715

Penalties

MetricMerani MartviliSaburtalo II
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total65

Streaks

MetricMerani MartviliSaburtalo II
Wins44
Draws33
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-00-4
Biggest losses0-34-00-14-0
Goals For3244
Goals Against5414

Model comparison

MetricMerani MartviliSaburtalo II
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h85%15%
Goals80%20%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Merani Martvili or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Marathonbet
No1.99 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Merani Martvili = 1.65 (league 1.34), Saburtalo II = 1.43 (league 1.15)

Saburtalo II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merani Martvili 0 4.6% 6.6% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.6% 10.8% 7.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 33.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1