Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 11:00 • 3Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.68) 1.06 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.6% 17.0% 14.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
8.9%
3 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Malmö FF W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hammarby 0 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.1% 7.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.4% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.7% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHammarbyMalmö FF W
Played55
Form73%100%
Attack94%67%
Defense78%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hammarby Malmö FF W
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins100%38%69%75%75%75%
Draws0%38%19%13%13%13%
Loses0%25%13%13%13%13%

Form: Hammarby: WWWWDWLWLWWDWDWW • Malmö FF W: WLWWDDWWLWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Hammarby Malmö FF W
HATHAT
GF total241943132336
GF avg3.02.42.71.62.92.3
GA total591441115
GA avg0.61.10.90.51.40.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHammarbyMalmö FF W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%94%56%
1.569%25%56%31%
2.544%0%44%6%
3.538%0%25%0%
4.519%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHammarbyMalmö FF W
HATHAT
Clean sheets426527
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricHammarbyMalmö FF W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricHammarbyMalmö FF W
Wins42
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-54-02-5
Biggest losses2-00-23-2
Goals For7545
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricHammarbyMalmö FF W
Form42%58%
Att59%41%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : Hammarby or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.40 @ Fonbet
Away6.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Unibet
No2.11 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hammarby = 2.51 (league 1.68), Malmö FF W = 1.06 (league 1.64)

Malmö FF W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hammarby 0 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.1% 7.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.4% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.7% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 14.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1