Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 16:30 • Eleda Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.65) 0.98 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 34.8% 43.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.0%
0 - 1
20.6%
1 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Häcken
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malmö FF W 0 21.0% 20.6% 10.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.2% 11.9% 5.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalmö FF WHäcken
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack54%54%
Defense77%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.814 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malmö FF W Häcken
HATHAT
Played8111910919
Wins75%64%68%70%78%74%
Draws13%18%16%10%0%5%
Loses13%18%16%20%22%21%

Form: Malmö FF W: WLWWDDWWLWWWWWWWLWD • Häcken: LLWWWLWWWWWWWWLWDWW

League goals

Metric Malmö FF W Häcken
HATHAT
GF total132942372966
GF avg1.62.62.23.73.23.5
GA total4141812517
GA avg0.51.30.91.20.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalmö FF WHäcken
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%58%89%58%
1.553%32%74%21%
2.542%5%68%11%
3.526%0%58%0%
4.55%0%42%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalmö FF WHäcken
HATHAT
Clean sheets538268
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricMalmö FF WHäcken
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricMalmö FF WHäcken
Wins78
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-46-00-5
Biggest losses0-23-21-32-0
Goals For4565
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricMalmö FF WHäcken
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : Malmö FF W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.75 @ Bet365
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away1.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malmö FF W = 0.58 (league 1.65), Häcken = 0.98 (league 1.64)

Häcken
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malmö FF W 0 21.0% 20.6% 10.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.2% 11.9% 5.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 34.8% · Away win 43.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1