Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:00 • Mjörnvallen Idrottsplats
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.68) 3.29 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.3% 9.1% 75.0%
best score tips
0 - 3
11.3%
0 - 2
10.4%
0 - 4
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Malmö FF W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alingsås W 0 1.9% 6.3% 10.4% 11.3% 9.3% 6.1%
1 1.3% 4.2% 6.9% 7.6% 6.2% 4.1%
2 0.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.5% 2.1% 1.4%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlingsås WMalmö FF W
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack40%80%
Defense13%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alingsås W Malmö FF W
HATHAT
Played99188917
Wins22%0%11%75%67%71%
Draws11%0%6%13%11%12%
Loses67%100%83%13%22%18%

Form: Alingsås W: LLLLLWLLDLLLLWLLLL • Malmö FF W: WLWWDDWWLWWWWWWWL

League goals

Metric Alingsås W Malmö FF W
HATHAT
GF total7512132437
GF avg0.80.60.71.62.72.2
GA total18325041317
GA avg2.03.62.80.51.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlingsås WMalmö FF W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%89%94%59%
1.56%67%53%35%
2.56%50%41%6%
3.50%33%24%0%
4.50%22%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlingsås WMalmö FF W
HATHAT
Clean sheets202527
Failed to score448101

Penalties

MetricAlingsås WMalmö FF W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAlingsås WMalmö FF W
Wins17
Draws12
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-24-02-5
Biggest losses1-47-00-23-2
Goals For3145
Goals Against4723

Model comparison

MetricAlingsås WMalmö FF W
Form20%80%
Att33%67%
Def28%72%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h13%88%
Goals22%78%
Total22.0%78.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Malmö FF W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home15.50 @ 188Bet
Draw8.60 @ 188Bet
Away1.15 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.97 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alingsås W = 0.67 (league 1.68), Malmö FF W = 3.29 (league 1.64)

Malmö FF W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alingsås W 0 1.9% 6.3% 10.4% 11.3% 9.3% 6.1%
1 1.3% 4.2% 6.9% 7.6% 6.2% 4.1%
2 0.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.5% 2.1% 1.4%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.3% · Draw 9.1% · Away win 75.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1