Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 • Kristianstads Fotbollsarena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.68) 2.04 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.4% 21.4% 49.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Malmö FF W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kristianstad 0 3.0% 6.1% 6.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9%
1 4.4% 8.9% 9.1% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.6% 6.7% 4.6% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.6% 3.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKristianstadMalmö FF W
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack33%100%
Defense53%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 115 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kristianstad Malmö FF W
HATHAT
Played9101981018
Wins67%40%53%75%70%72%
Draws22%10%16%13%10%11%
Loses11%50%32%13%20%17%

Form: Kristianstad: LWLLDWWWWWDWLWLLDWW • Malmö FF W: WLWWDDWWLWWWWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Kristianstad Malmö FF W
HATHAT
GF total171532132841
GF avg1.91.51.71.62.82.3
GA total11132441317
GA avg1.21.31.30.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKristianstadMalmö FF W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%84%94%56%
1.558%37%56%33%
2.526%5%44%6%
3.55%0%28%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKristianstadMalmö FF W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213538
Failed to score134101

Penalties

MetricKristianstadMalmö FF W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricKristianstadMalmö FF W
Wins57
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-44-00-4
Biggest losses0-32-00-23-2
Goals For3445
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricKristianstadMalmö FF W
Form37%63%
Att25%75%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total35.8%64.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Malmö FF W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.86 @ Pinnacle
Away1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kristianstad = 1.47 (league 1.68), Malmö FF W = 2.04 (league 1.64)

Malmö FF W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kristianstad 0 3.0% 6.1% 6.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9%
1 4.4% 8.9% 9.1% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.6% 6.7% 4.6% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.6% 3.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 49.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1