Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 17:00 • Hammarby IP
Match Finished
1 - 0

AIK

Expected Goals
2.98 (league 1.65) 0.40 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.1% 8.9% 2.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.1%
3 - 0
15.0%
4 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
AIK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hammarby 0 3.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 6.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.0% 6.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.2% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHammarbyAIK
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack52%30%
Defense89%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hammarby AIK
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins100%40%70%50%40%45%
Draws0%30%15%0%10%5%
Loses0%30%15%50%50%50%

Form: Hammarby: WWWWDWLWLWWDWDWWWWLW • AIK: WLLLWDWLWWLWWLLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Hammarby AIK
HATHAT
GF total292756121123
GF avg2.92.72.81.21.11.2
GA total61117131730
GA avg0.61.10.91.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHammarbyAIK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%60%60%
1.570%25%40%35%
2.545%0%10%20%
3.535%0%5%20%
4.520%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHammarbyAIK
HATHAT
Clean sheets538538
Failed to score022268

Penalties

MetricHammarbyAIK
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricHammarbyAIK
Wins42
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-72-01-4
Biggest losses—2-02-56-0
Goals For7724
Goals Against2256

Model comparison

MetricHammarbyAIK
Form67%33%
Att64%36%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h80%20%
Goals92%8%
Total77.7%22.3%

Advice: Double chance : Hammarby or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.15 @ Betano
Draw8.47 @ Pinnacle
Away17.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hammarby = 2.98 (league 1.65), AIK = 0.40 (league 1.64)

AIK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hammarby 0 3.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 6.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.0% 6.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.2% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.1% · Draw 8.9% · Away win 2.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1