Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:00 • Eleda Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.68) 0.49 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.0% 25.6% 11.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
15.4%
0 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Rosengård W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malmö FF W 0 13.6% 6.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 10.0% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 7.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalmö FF WRosengård W
Played55
Form47%0%
Attack43%33%
Defense67%24%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.416 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malmö FF W Rosengård W
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins67%64%65%30%20%25%
Draws11%18%15%20%10%15%
Loses22%18%20%50%70%60%

Form: Malmö FF W: WLWWDDWWLWWWWWWWLWDL • Rosengård W: WWLWDLWLLLWDLDLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Malmö FF W Rosengård W
HATHAT
GF total132942141024
GF avg1.42.62.11.41.01.2
GA total71421181836
GA avg0.81.31.11.81.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalmö FF WRosengård W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%70%85%
1.550%35%45%55%
2.540%10%5%25%
3.525%0%0%10%
4.55%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalmö FF WRosengård W
HATHAT
Clean sheets538123
Failed to score202246

Penalties

MetricMalmö FF WRosengård W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMalmö FF WRosengård W
Wins72
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-42-10-3
Biggest losses0-33-22-54-0
Goals For4523
Goals Against3354

Model comparison

MetricMalmö FF WRosengård W
Form100%0%
Att56%44%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total69.8%30.2%

Advice: Double chance : Malmö FF W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.10 @ Unibet
Away6.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.53.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malmö FF W = 1.50 (league 1.68), Rosengård W = 0.49 (league 1.63)

Rosengård W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malmö FF W 0 13.6% 6.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.5% 10.0% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 7.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 11.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1