Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 11:00 • Stockholms Olympiastadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.68) 1.90 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.4% 21.4% 38.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.2%
1 - 2
7.8%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Malmö FF W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Djurgården 0 2.3% 4.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.3% 8.2% 7.8% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9%
2 4.0% 7.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.5% 4.8% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDjurgårdenMalmö FF W
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack33%43%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Djurgården Malmö FF W
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins64%55%59%73%64%68%
Draws36%9%23%9%18%14%
Loses0%36%18%18%18%18%

Form: Djurgården: WWDWDDWWWLLWLDWWWLWWDW • Malmö FF W: WLWWDDWWLWWWWWWWLWDLWW

League goals

Metric Djurgården Malmö FF W
HATHAT
GF total261541172946
GF avg2.41.41.91.52.62.1
GA total13173091423
GA avg1.21.51.40.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDjurgårdenMalmö FF W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%82%91%64%
1.559%32%55%32%
2.523%14%36%9%
3.514%9%23%0%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDjurgårdenMalmö FF W
HATHAT
Clean sheets224538
Failed to score033202

Penalties

MetricDjurgårdenMalmö FF W
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricDjurgårdenMalmö FF W
Wins37
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-44-00-4
Biggest losses4-00-33-2
Goals For5445
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricDjurgårdenMalmö FF W
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Malmö FF W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Djurgården = 1.86 (league 1.68), Malmö FF W = 1.90 (league 1.64)

Malmö FF W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Djurgården 0 2.3% 4.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.3% 8.2% 7.8% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9%
2 4.0% 7.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.5% 4.8% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.4% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 38.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1