Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 18:00 • Mjörnvallen Idrottsplats
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.65) 3.37 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.0% 7.6% 76.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
12.9%
0 - 2
11.4%
0 - 4
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Hammarby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alingsås W 0 2.0% 6.8% 11.4% 12.9% 10.9% 7.3%
1 1.1% 3.6% 6.1% 6.9% 5.8% 3.9%
2 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 1.5% 1.0%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlingsås WHammarby
Played55
Form13%80%
Attack46%100%
Defense0%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alingsås W Hammarby
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins17%0%8%100%42%71%
Draws17%8%13%0%25%13%
Loses67%92%79%0%33%17%

Form: Alingsås W: LLLLLWLLDLLLLWLLLLLLLLDD • Hammarby: WWWWDWLWLWWDWDWWWWLWWLWW

League goals

Metric Alingsås W Hammarby
HATHAT
GF total10818342963
GF avg0.80.70.82.82.42.6
GA total27416861319
GA avg2.33.42.80.51.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlingsås WHammarby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%88%88%54%
1.513%71%67%25%
2.513%54%42%0%
3.50%33%33%0%
4.50%21%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlingsås WHammarby
HATHAT
Clean sheets2137411
Failed to score6612033

Penalties

MetricAlingsås WHammarby
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAlingsås WHammarby
Wins14
Draws11
Losses81

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-27-00-7
Biggest losses0-47-02-0
Goals For3377
Goals Against4722

Model comparison

MetricAlingsås WHammarby
Form14%86%
Att30%70%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution14%86%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total17.8%82.5%

Advice: Winner : Hammarby

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home56.00 @ Betfair
Draw20.00 @ Pinnacle
Away1.06 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.70 @ William Hill
No1.54 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alingsås W = 0.53 (league 1.65), Hammarby = 3.37 (league 1.64)

Hammarby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alingsås W 0 2.0% 6.8% 11.4% 12.9% 10.9% 7.3%
1 1.1% 3.6% 6.1% 6.9% 5.8% 3.9%
2 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 1.5% 1.0%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.0% · Draw 7.6% · Away win 76.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1