Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 17:00 • Jämtkraft Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.33 (league 1.60) 1.25 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.4% 19.1% 19.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Umeå FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ostersunds FK 0 2.8% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.5% 8.1% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.5% 5.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOstersunds FKUmeå FC
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack17%33%
Defense33%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ostersunds FK Umeå FC
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins30%17%23%0%9%5%
Draws40%33%36%27%27%27%
Loses30%50%41%73%64%68%

Form: Ostersunds FK: WDDLWWLDLWDLLDWLDLLDDL • Umeå FC: LLDLLLLLLDDLLLDDLWLDLL

League goals

Metric Ostersunds FK Umeå FC
HATHAT
GF total1772471017
GF avg1.70.61.10.60.90.8
GA total171835192443
GA avg1.71.51.61.72.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOstersunds FKUmeå FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%82%50%95%
1.536%45%23%64%
2.514%18%5%23%
3.50%5%0%9%
4.50%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOstersunds FKUmeå FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets134011
Failed to score2797411

Penalties

MetricOstersunds FKUmeå FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricOstersunds FKUmeå FC
Wins21
Draws22
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-20-2
Biggest losses1-36-01-35-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against3635

Model comparison

MetricOstersunds FKUmeå FC
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Umeå FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ 10Bet
Draw4.40 @ Dafabet
Away4.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ostersunds FK = 2.33 (league 1.60), Umeå FC = 1.25 (league 1.23)

Umeå FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ostersunds FK 0 2.8% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.5% 8.1% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.5% 5.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.4% 4.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.4% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 19.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1