Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 17:00 • Umeå Energi Arena SOL
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.60) 2.22 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.5% 17.0% 71.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.7%
0 - 1
13.3%
0 - 3
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Vasteras SK FK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Umeå FC 0 6.0% 13.3% 14.7% 10.9% 6.0% 2.7%
1 3.6% 8.0% 8.8% 6.5% 3.6% 1.6%
2 1.1% 2.4% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUmeå FCVasteras SK FK
Played55
Form7%60%
Attack18%100%
Defense9%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Umeå FC Vasteras SK FK
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins0%8%4%67%45%57%
Draws27%25%26%33%9%22%
Loses73%67%70%0%45%22%

Form: Umeå FC: LLDLLLLLLDDLLLDDLWLDLLL • Vasteras SK FK: WDWLDDWLWWDLDWWWWWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Umeå FC Vasteras SK FK
HATHAT
GF total71017241842
GF avg0.60.80.72.01.61.8
GA total19274681826
GA avg1.72.32.00.71.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUmeå FCVasteras SK FK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%96%87%61%
1.522%65%61%35%
2.54%26%22%9%
3.50%9%9%4%
4.50%4%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUmeå FCVasteras SK FK
HATHAT
Clean sheets011729
Failed to score7512033

Penalties

MetricUmeå FCVasteras SK FK
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricUmeå FCVasteras SK FK
Wins15
Draws22
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-24-01-5
Biggest losses1-35-15-0
Goals For3245
Goals Against3525

Model comparison

MetricUmeå FCVasteras SK FK
Form10%90%
Att15%85%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total26.8%73.2%

Advice: Winner : Vasteras SK FK

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.50 @ Marathonbet
Draw5.07 @ Pinnacle
Away1.49 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Umeå FC = 0.60 (league 1.60), Vasteras SK FK = 2.22 (league 1.23)

Vasteras SK FK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Umeå FC 0 6.0% 13.3% 14.7% 10.9% 6.0% 2.7%
1 3.6% 8.0% 8.8% 6.5% 3.6% 1.6%
2 1.1% 2.4% 2.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.5% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 71.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1