Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 11:00 • Umea Energi Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.60) 1.91 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.9% 21.0% 64.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
0 - 2
13.4%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Umeå FC 0 7.3% 14.0% 13.4% 8.6% 4.1% 1.6%
1 5.1% 9.8% 9.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.8% 3.4% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUmeå FCVarbergs BoIS FC
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack33%33%
Defense50%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Umeå FC Varbergs BoIS FC
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins8%14%11%50%31%41%
Draws23%21%22%36%31%33%
Loses69%64%67%14%38%26%

Form: Umeå FC: LLDLLLLLLDDLLLDDLWLDLLLLLWW • Varbergs BoIS FC: DWDWWWWLWDLWLDLWLLDDWWWDDLD

League goals

Metric Umeå FC Varbergs BoIS FC
HATHAT
GF total91423221941
GF avg0.71.00.91.61.51.5
GA total213152132134
GA avg1.62.21.90.91.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUmeå FCVarbergs BoIS FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%93%85%74%
1.522%63%33%41%
2.57%26%22%4%
3.50%7%11%4%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUmeå FCVarbergs BoIS FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112527
Failed to score7512314

Penalties

MetricUmeå FCVarbergs BoIS FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricUmeå FCVarbergs BoIS FC
Wins14
Draws22
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-34-00-4
Biggest losses1-35-10-25-1
Goals For3344
Goals Against3525

Model comparison

MetricUmeå FCVarbergs BoIS FC
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total40.8%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Varbergs BoIS FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ 10Bet
Draw4.00 @ Pinnacle
Away2.21 @ SBO

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.30 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Umeå FC = 0.70 (league 1.60), Varbergs BoIS FC = 1.91 (league 1.26)

Varbergs BoIS FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Umeå FC 0 7.3% 14.0% 13.4% 8.6% 4.1% 1.6%
1 5.1% 9.8% 9.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.8% 3.4% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.9% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 64.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1