Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:30 • Studenternas IP
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.49) 1.54 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.1% 25.6% 54.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 2
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Malmo FF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sirius 0 9.7% 15.0% 11.6% 6.0% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.8% 9.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.0% 4.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSiriusMalmo FF
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack83%50%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sirius Malmo FF
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%23%28%46%42%44%
Draws17%23%20%31%42%36%
Loses50%54%52%23%17%20%

Form: Sirius: WLLDLDDWLLLWDLLLLDWWWLWLL • Malmo FF: WWDDLWLWDWDLWDDWWWLWDDDLW

League goals

Metric Sirius Malmo FF
HATHAT
GF total162238201939
GF avg1.31.71.51.51.61.6
GA total163147121123
GA avg1.32.41.90.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSiriusMalmo FF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%72%60%
1.540%52%48%28%
2.520%24%28%4%
3.54%8%8%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSiriusMalmo FF
HATHAT
Clean sheets2135510
Failed to score303347

Penalties

MetricSiriusMalmo FF
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricSiriusMalmo FF
Wins33
Draws23
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-43-00-4
Biggest losses0-38-21-32-0
Goals For3434
Goals Against3832

Model comparison

MetricSiriusMalmo FF
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h29%71%
Goals35%65%
Total40.2%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Malmo FF

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.69 @ 188Bet
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away2.63 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sirius = 0.79 (league 1.49), Malmo FF = 1.54 (league 1.35)

Malmo FF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sirius 0 9.7% 15.0% 11.6% 6.0% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.8% 9.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.0% 4.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 54.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1