Allsvenskan — Sweden
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:00 • Studenternas IP
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.48) 0.86 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 27.2% 22.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
IF Elfsborg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sirius 0 10.3% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 12.5% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 8.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSiriusIF Elfsborg
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack75%50%
Defense19%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sirius IF Elfsborg
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%21%30%50%38%44%
Draws15%29%22%21%8%15%
Loses46%50%48%29%54%41%

Form: Sirius: WLLDLDDWLLLWDLLLLDWWWLWLLWD • IF Elfsborg: DLWWWLWWWWWLDLWLWWDLLLDLLLW

League goals

Metric Sirius IF Elfsborg
HATHAT
GF total212344331245
GF avg1.61.61.62.40.91.7
GA total173249241741
GA avg1.32.31.81.71.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSiriusIF Elfsborg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%70%78%
1.541%48%48%59%
2.522%22%22%15%
3.57%7%22%0%
4.54%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSiriusIF Elfsborg
HATHAT
Clean sheets213336
Failed to score303268

Penalties

MetricSiriusIF Elfsborg
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricSiriusIF Elfsborg
Wins35
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-45-11-4
Biggest losses0-38-20-23-0
Goals For5454
Goals Against3833

Model comparison

MetricSiriusIF Elfsborg
Form64%36%
Att60%40%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h20%80%
Goals45%55%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Double chance : Sirius or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Dafabet
Draw4.12 @ Pinnacle
Away3.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.65 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sirius = 1.41 (league 1.48), IF Elfsborg = 0.86 (league 1.36)

IF Elfsborg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sirius 0 10.3% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 12.5% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 8.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 22.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1