Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:00 • Marienlyst Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.72) 2.39 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.9% 17.1% 67.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.9%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stromsgodset 0 3.8% 9.1% 10.9% 8.7% 5.2% 2.5%
1 3.3% 8.0% 9.5% 7.6% 4.6% 2.2%
2 1.5% 3.5% 4.2% 3.3% 2.0% 1.0%
3 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStromsgodsetSarpsborg 08 FF
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack75%58%
Defense25%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stromsgodset Sarpsborg 08 FF
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins20%27%24%30%36%33%
Draws0%9%5%30%36%33%
Loses80%64%71%40%27%33%

Form: Stromsgodset: LWLLWLLLLLLLLLLLWLDWW • Sarpsborg 08 FF: WDWLDWDLDDWWDDLLLLLWW

League goals

Metric Stromsgodset Sarpsborg 08 FF
HATHAT
GF total101828161733
GF avg1.01.61.31.61.51.6
GA total222446151631
GA avg2.22.22.21.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStromsgodsetSarpsborg 08 FF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%90%76%81%
1.543%71%57%33%
2.514%33%19%24%
3.55%14%5%10%
4.55%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStromsgodsetSarpsborg 08 FF
HATHAT
Clean sheets112134
Failed to score437235

Penalties

MetricStromsgodsetSarpsborg 08 FF
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total16

Streaks

MetricStromsgodsetSarpsborg 08 FF
Wins12
Draws12
Losses115

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-54-01-3
Biggest losses0-55-01-44-0
Goals For3543
Goals Against5544

Model comparison

MetricStromsgodsetSarpsborg 08 FF
Form63%38%
Att56%44%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h100%0%
Goals68%32%
Total53.2%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Stromsgodset or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ 888Sport
Draw4.01 @ Pinnacle
Away2.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ 188Bet
No3.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Stromsgodset = 0.87 (league 1.72), Sarpsborg 08 FF = 2.39 (league 1.38)

Sarpsborg 08 FF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stromsgodset 0 3.8% 9.1% 10.9% 8.7% 5.2% 2.5%
1 3.3% 8.0% 9.5% 7.6% 4.6% 2.2%
2 1.5% 3.5% 4.2% 3.3% 2.0% 1.0%
3 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.9% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 67.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1