Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 17:15 • Aker Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.72) 1.22 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 24.9% 29.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Valerenga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Molde 0 6.1% 7.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.6% 11.8% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.2% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoldeValerenga
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack24%76%
Defense65%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Molde Valerenga
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%27%36%45%36%41%
Draws9%18%14%27%9%18%
Loses45%55%50%27%55%41%

Form: Molde: LLDDWWLLWLWLLLWWWDWLLL • Valerenga: WDLLWLLDWLLWDLWLWWWWLD

League goals

Metric Molde Valerenga
HATHAT
GF total161329221537
GF avg1.51.21.32.01.41.7
GA total131629162036
GA avg1.21.51.31.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoldeValerenga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%68%86%77%
1.545%41%55%45%
2.518%18%23%18%
3.55%5%5%9%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoldeValerenga
HATHAT
Clean sheets347235
Failed to score358123

Penalties

MetricMoldeValerenga
Scored (total | %)4 | 80.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 20.00%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricMoldeValerenga
Wins34
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-02-47-2
Goals For4343
Goals Against3447

Model comparison

MetricMoldeValerenga
Form29%71%
Att24%76%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h93%7%
Goals77%23%
Total56.2%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Molde or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.25 @ Unibet
Away4.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Molde = 1.57 (league 1.72), Valerenga = 1.22 (league 1.38)

Valerenga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Molde 0 6.1% 7.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.6% 11.8% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.2% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 29.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1