Eliteserien — Norway
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:15 • Lerkendal Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.80) 0.54 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.8% 30.0% 16.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.9%
0 - 0
16.7%
2 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rosenborg 0 16.7% 9.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.9% 11.3% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 7.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack55%82%
Defense0%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08 FF
HATHAT
Played101222111223
Wins50%33%41%27%33%30%
Draws50%17%32%36%33%35%
Loses0%50%27%36%33%35%

Form: Rosenborg: WWWDDWDWLWDLDLWDWLLWDL • Sarpsborg 08 FF: WDWLDWDLDDWWDDLLLLLWWLD

League goals

Metric Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08 FF
HATHAT
GF total151429191837
GF avg1.51.21.31.71.51.6
GA total52328181836
GA avg0.51.91.31.61.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%59%78%83%
1.536%32%57%39%
2.514%18%22%26%
3.55%18%4%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
HATHAT
Clean sheets549134
Failed to score145235

Penalties

MetricRosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricRosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
Wins32
Draws22
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-01-3
Biggest losses—4-01-44-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against1444

Model comparison

MetricRosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
Form36%64%
Att40%60%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h25%75%
Goals36%64%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sarpsborg 08 FF

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 888Sport
Draw4.55 @ 188Bet
Away4.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Betano
Under 2.52.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ 188Bet
No2.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rosenborg = 1.25 (league 1.80), Sarpsborg 08 FF = 0.54 (league 1.39)

Sarpsborg 08 FF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rosenborg 0 16.7% 9.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.9% 11.3% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 7.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 16.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1