Eliteserien — Norway
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 16:00 • Jotun Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.79) 0.72 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.4% 25.7% 17.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Fredrikstad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sandefjord 0 10.4% 7.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.1% 11.6% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 8.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSandefjordFredrikstad
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack38%29%
Defense62%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sandefjord Fredrikstad
HATHAT
Played121224131225
Wins75%25%50%46%25%36%
Draws0%8%4%31%33%32%
Loses25%67%46%23%42%32%

Form: Sandefjord: LWLWWWLWLWLWLWWLLDLLLWWW • Fredrikstad: WLWWDWWLLDLLDWLDWDDWDLLDW

League goals

Metric Sandefjord Fredrikstad
HATHAT
GF total281644211233
GF avg2.31.31.81.61.01.3
GA total122436141428
GA avg1.02.01.51.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSandefjordFredrikstad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%71%68%72%
1.550%58%36%28%
2.529%21%24%8%
3.58%0%4%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSandefjordFredrikstad
HATHAT
Clean sheets617347
Failed to score123358

Penalties

MetricSandefjordFredrikstad
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricSandefjordFredrikstad
Wins32
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-33-10-23-0
Goals For6343
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricSandefjordFredrikstad
Form64%36%
Att57%43%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h7%93%
Goals25%75%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fredrikstad

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ Dafabet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away3.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Pinnacle
No2.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sandefjord = 1.54 (league 1.79), Fredrikstad = 0.72 (league 1.39)

Fredrikstad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sandefjord 0 10.4% 7.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.1% 11.6% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 8.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.4% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 17.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1