Eliteserien — Norway
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 • Lerkendal Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.76) 0.85 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.8% 23.8% 18.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Valerenga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rosenborg 0 7.7% 6.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.2% 11.3% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.6% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.4% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRosenborgValerenga
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack50%44%
Defense28%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rosenborg Valerenga
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%29%33%57%31%44%
Draws46%21%33%21%8%15%
Loses15%50%33%21%62%41%

Form: Rosenborg: WWWDDWDWLWDLDLWDWLLWDLLDLDL • Valerenga: WDLLWLLDWLLWDLWLWWWWLDLWLWW

League goals

Metric Rosenborg Valerenga
HATHAT
GF total201838281745
GF avg1.51.31.42.01.31.7
GA total122941182644
GA avg0.92.11.51.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRosenborgValerenga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%67%89%78%
1.544%41%52%44%
2.511%26%22%19%
3.54%19%4%11%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRosenborgValerenga
HATHAT
Clean sheets549336
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricRosenborgValerenga
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricRosenborgValerenga
Wins34
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-00-2
Biggest losses2-34-02-47-2
Goals For4343
Goals Against3447

Model comparison

MetricRosenborgValerenga
Form18%82%
Att53%47%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Valerenga

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.05 @ Pinnacle
Away3.25 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Superbet
No3.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rosenborg = 1.71 (league 1.76), Valerenga = 0.85 (league 1.37)

Valerenga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rosenborg 0 7.7% 6.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.2% 11.3% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.6% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.4% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.8% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 18.6%

Vtot 6 , Vtod5