Eliteserien — Norway
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:00 • Sarpsborg Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.79) 1.17 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.1% 28.6% 37.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Fredrikstad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarpsborg 08 FF 0 10.3% 12.0% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.3% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.3% 7.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack50%40%
Defense25%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarpsborg 08 FF Fredrikstad
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins31%36%33%50%23%37%
Draws31%29%30%29%38%33%
Loses38%36%37%21%38%30%

Form: Sarpsborg 08 FF: WDWLDWDLDDWWDDLLLLLWWLDWLWL • Fredrikstad: WLWWDWWLLDLLDWLDWDDWDLLDWDW

League goals

Metric Sarpsborg 08 FF Fredrikstad
HATHAT
GF total232144241236
GF avg1.81.51.61.70.91.3
GA total242448151429
GA avg1.81.71.81.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%85%67%70%
1.559%44%37%26%
2.522%30%26%7%
3.54%15%4%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
HATHAT
Clean sheets134358
Failed to score246369

Penalties

MetricSarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricSarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
Wins22
Draws22
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-00-3
Biggest losses2-54-00-23-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against5424

Model comparison

MetricSarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
Form47%53%
Att56%44%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ 188Bet
Draw3.81 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.37 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarpsborg 08 FF = 1.10 (league 1.79), Fredrikstad = 1.17 (league 1.39)

Fredrikstad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarpsborg 08 FF 0 10.3% 12.0% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.3% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.3% 7.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 37.1%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1