Eliteserien — Norway
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 16:00 • Sarpsborg Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.80) 1.66 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.6% 23.8% 42.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Molde
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarpsborg 08 FF 0 4.6% 7.6% 6.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
1 6.5% 10.8% 9.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.7% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.2% 3.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarpsborg 08 FFMolde
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack33%57%
Defense43%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarpsborg 08 FF Molde
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins29%40%34%53%29%41%
Draws29%27%28%7%14%10%
Loses43%33%38%40%57%48%

Form: Sarpsborg 08 FF: WDWLDWDLDDWWDDLLLLLWWLDWLWLLW • Molde: LLDDWWLLWLWLLLWWWDWLLLWLLLWWW

League goals

Metric Sarpsborg 08 FF Molde
HATHAT
GF total232447291746
GF avg1.61.61.61.91.21.6
GA total262450192241
GA avg1.91.61.71.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarpsborg 08 FFMolde
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%83%72%69%
1.559%45%48%45%
2.524%28%24%21%
3.53%14%14%7%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarpsborg 08 FFMolde
HATHAT
Clean sheets145459
Failed to score347358

Penalties

MetricSarpsborg 08 FFMolde
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total75

Streaks

MetricSarpsborg 08 FFMolde
Wins23
Draws22
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-00-3
Biggest losses2-54-01-34-1
Goals For4343
Goals Against5434

Model comparison

MetricSarpsborg 08 FFMolde
Form40%60%
Att37%63%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Molde

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw4.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.37 @ Pinnacle
No3.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sarpsborg 08 FF = 1.42 (league 1.80), Molde = 1.66 (league 1.37)

Molde
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarpsborg 08 FF 0 4.6% 7.6% 6.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
1 6.5% 10.8% 9.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.7% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.2% 3.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.6% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 42.6%

vtt 4 , vtd1