Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 17:00 • Melløs Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.70) 2.76 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.6% 14.2% 69.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
9.8%
0 - 3
9.0%
1 - 2
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lillestrom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moss 0 2.6% 7.1% 9.8% 9.0% 6.2% 3.4%
1 2.3% 6.4% 8.8% 8.1% 5.6% 3.1%
2 1.0% 2.9% 4.0% 3.7% 2.5% 1.4%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMossLillestrom
Played55
Form33%100%
Attack53%100%
Defense40%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.617 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moss Lillestrom
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins64%0%30%82%75%78%
Draws9%33%22%18%25%22%
Loses27%67%48%0%0%0%

Form: Moss: LWLWLWLWLDWLLLWDDLDLWDL • Lillestrom: DWWWWDWWWDDWDWWWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Moss Lillestrom
HATHAT
GF total241135263359
GF avg2.20.91.52.42.82.6
GA total1729466814
GA avg1.52.42.00.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMossLillestrom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%87%96%48%
1.552%65%78%13%
2.522%30%43%0%
3.54%9%22%0%
4.50%4%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMossLillestrom
HATHAT
Clean sheets2136612
Failed to score156101

Penalties

MetricMossLillestrom
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricMossLillestrom
Wins14
Draws22
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-25-10-6
Biggest losses0-36-0
Goals For4356
Goals Against4622

Model comparison

MetricMossLillestrom
Form25%75%
Att32%68%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total27.8%72.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Lillestrom and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.80 @ Marathonbet
Draw5.38 @ Pinnacle
Away1.40 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Moss = 0.90 (league 1.70), Lillestrom = 2.76 (league 1.52)

Lillestrom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moss 0 2.6% 7.1% 9.8% 9.0% 6.2% 3.4%
1 2.3% 6.4% 8.8% 8.1% 5.6% 3.1%
2 1.0% 2.9% 4.0% 3.7% 2.5% 1.4%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.6% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 69.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1