1. Division — Norway
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 12:30 • Fosshaugane Campus
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.68) 2.00 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.9% 21.3% 43.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Kongsvinger
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sogndal 0 2.4% 4.9% 4.9% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
1 4.2% 8.3% 8.3% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.2% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.0% 4.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSogndalKongsvinger
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack57%86%
Defense29%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sogndal Kongsvinger
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins45%42%43%58%36%48%
Draws27%17%22%25%36%30%
Loses27%42%35%17%27%22%

Form: Sogndal: LLWWWLWWDLWLDDLDWWWWDLL • Kongsvinger: DWWWLLLWDWWDDDLLDWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Sogndal Kongsvinger
HATHAT
GF total202040282048
GF avg1.81.71.72.31.82.1
GA total191938181836
GA avg1.71.61.71.51.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSogndalKongsvinger
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.596%83%91%87%
1.552%48%65%52%
2.522%17%26%17%
3.54%13%17%0%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSogndalKongsvinger
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricSogndalKongsvinger
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricSogndalKongsvinger
Wins43
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-46-01-4
Biggest losses1-54-20-33-1
Goals For3464
Goals Against5433

Model comparison

MetricSogndalKongsvinger
Form35%65%
Att40%60%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h62%38%
Goals52%48%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kongsvinger and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.01 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.38 @ Pinnacle
No3.15 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sogndal = 1.72 (league 1.68), Kongsvinger = 2.00 (league 1.53)

Kongsvinger
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sogndal 0 2.4% 4.9% 4.9% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
1 4.2% 8.3% 8.3% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.2% 7.2% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.0% 4.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.9% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 43.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1