Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Åråsen Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.55 (league 1.69) 0.39 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.5% 12.0% 3.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.1%
3 - 0
14.6%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
hodd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lillestrom 0 5.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.4% 5.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 6.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.3% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLillestromhodd
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack100%47%
Defense67%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lillestrom hodd
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins82%77%79%42%25%33%
Draws18%23%21%17%33%25%
Loses0%0%0%42%42%42%

Form: Lillestrom: DWWWWDWWWDDWDWWWWWWWWWWW • hodd: DLWLWWLWDDLLWDWLLLDDLWWL

League goals

Metric Lillestrom hodd
HATHAT
GF total263864161430
GF avg2.42.92.71.31.21.3
GA total6915172239
GA avg0.50.70.61.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLillestromhodd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.596%50%79%92%
1.579%13%38%42%
2.546%0%8%13%
3.525%0%0%8%
4.517%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLillestromhodd
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612112
Failed to score101415

Penalties

MetricLillestromhodd
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricLillestromhodd
Wins42
Draws22
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-63-11-2
Biggest losses2-46-1
Goals For5632
Goals Against2246

Model comparison

MetricLillestromhodd
Form68%32%
Att73%27%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Winner : Lillestrom

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ Unibet
Draw7.80 @ Pinnacle
Away14.75 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lillestrom = 2.55 (league 1.69), hodd = 0.39 (league 1.52)

hodd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lillestrom 0 5.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.4% 5.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 6.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.3% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.5% · Draw 12.0% · Away win 3.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1