Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Color Line Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.70) 0.89 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.1% 19.3% 14.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sogndal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aalesund 0 4.7% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 9.1% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAalesundSogndal
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack47%53%
Defense53%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aalesund Sogndal
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins58%25%42%42%42%42%
Draws33%33%33%33%17%25%
Loses8%42%25%25%42%33%

Form: Aalesund: DWDDWWDLDLWDDWDWWLWLLWWL • Sogndal: LLWWWLWWDLWLDDLDWWWWDLLD

League goals

Metric Aalesund Sogndal
HATHAT
GF total271542222042
GF avg2.31.31.81.81.71.8
GA total102333211940
GA avg0.81.91.41.81.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAalesundSogndal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%96%83%
1.554%42%54%50%
2.521%21%21%17%
3.58%4%4%13%
4.54%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAalesundSogndal
HATHAT
Clean sheets628224
Failed to score134011

Penalties

MetricAalesundSogndal
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricAalesundSogndal
Wins24
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-03-43-11-4
Biggest losses2-35-11-54-2
Goals For6434
Goals Against3554

Model comparison

MetricAalesundSogndal
Form55%45%
Att47%53%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Aalesund or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Unibet
Draw4.20 @ Pinnacle
Away4.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 888Sport
Under 2.52.35 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aalesund = 2.16 (league 1.70), Sogndal = 0.89 (league 1.52)

Sogndal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aalesund 0 4.7% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 9.1% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 14.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1