Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Melløs Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.70) 2.13 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.3% 20.1% 38.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 2
6.9%
2 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Kongsvinger
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moss 0 1.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5%
1 3.1% 6.5% 6.9% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
2 3.2% 6.8% 7.3% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
3 2.2% 4.8% 5.1% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.2% 2.5% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMossKongsvinger
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack29%52%
Defense38%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moss Kongsvinger
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%0%28%62%33%48%
Draws8%31%20%23%42%32%
Loses33%69%52%15%25%20%

Form: Moss: LWLWLWLWLDWLLLWDDLDLWDLLL • Kongsvinger: DWWWLLLWDWWDDDLLDWWWDWWDW

League goals

Metric Moss Kongsvinger
HATHAT
GF total251136312253
GF avg2.10.81.42.41.82.1
GA total223355182038
GA avg1.82.52.21.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMossKongsvinger
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%88%92%84%
1.548%68%68%52%
2.520%36%28%16%
3.54%16%16%0%
4.50%8%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMossKongsvinger
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score167112

Penalties

MetricMossKongsvinger
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricMossKongsvinger
Wins13
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-26-01-4
Biggest losses1-56-00-33-1
Goals For4364
Goals Against5633

Model comparison

MetricMossKongsvinger
Form27%73%
Att35%65%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h71%29%
Goals40%60%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kongsvinger and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.58 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.38 @ Pinnacle
Away1.89 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.42 @ Pinnacle
No2.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Moss = 2.10 (league 1.70), Kongsvinger = 2.13 (league 1.52)

Kongsvinger
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moss 0 1.5% 3.1% 3.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5%
1 3.1% 6.5% 6.9% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
2 3.2% 6.8% 7.3% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
3 2.2% 4.8% 5.1% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.2% 2.5% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 38.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1