1. Division — Norway
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • Åråsen Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.64 (league 1.68) 0.58 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.9% 12.9% 5.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.9%
3 - 0
12.2%
1 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Stabaek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lillestrom 0 4.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.2% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.1% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLillestromStabaek
Played55
Form100%60%
Attack100%81%
Defense81%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)20 | 413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lillestrom Stabaek
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins86%80%83%27%21%24%
Draws14%20%17%33%36%34%
Loses0%0%0%40%43%41%

Form: Lillestrom: DWWWWDWWWDDWDWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW • Stabaek: DWLLWDWLDDLLLDLDLLLDDDWDWWWLL

League goals

Metric Lillestrom Stabaek
HATHAT
GF total374784242145
GF avg2.63.12.91.61.51.6
GA total81018262450
GA avg0.60.70.61.71.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLillestromStabaek
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.597%52%90%79%
1.583%10%38%52%
2.548%0%17%24%
3.531%0%7%10%
4.521%0%3%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLillestromStabaek
HATHAT
Clean sheets7714426
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricLillestromStabaek
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricLillestromStabaek
Wins43
Draws23
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-74-00-5
Biggest losses——1-55-1
Goals For5745
Goals Against2255

Model comparison

MetricLillestromStabaek
Form63%38%
Att61%39%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total70.3%29.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Lillestrom and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.24 @ Unibet
Draw7.19 @ Pinnacle
Away11.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lillestrom = 2.64 (league 1.68), Stabaek = 0.58 (league 1.55)

Stabaek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lillestrom 0 4.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.5% 6.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.2% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.1% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.3% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.9% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 5.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1