Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 14:00 • Mustapekka Areena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.65) 1.09 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 27.0% 30.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
11.7%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
FF Jaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gnistan 0 8.6% 9.4% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.7% 12.8% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.0% 8.7% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGnistanFF Jaro
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack48%24%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gnistan FF Jaro
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%27%33%18%40%29%
Draws30%36%33%27%10%19%
Loses30%36%33%55%50%52%

Form: Gnistan: LLWLWWDDLWDDLDWLLDWDW • FF Jaro: WLLLWLDDLLWLWDLLDWWLL

League goals

Metric Gnistan FF Jaro
HATHAT
GF total161733111223
GF avg1.61.51.61.01.21.1
GA total152237211435
GA avg1.52.01.81.91.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGnistanFF Jaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%71%71%81%
1.557%62%33%48%
2.514%24%5%33%
3.55%10%0%5%
4.55%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGnistanFF Jaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets336044
Failed to score235426

Penalties

MetricGnistanFF Jaro
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricGnistanFF Jaro
Wins22
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-52-10-2
Biggest losses2-46-20-43-1
Goals For3523
Goals Against4643

Model comparison

MetricGnistanFF Jaro
Form53%47%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h64%36%
Goals57%43%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Gnistan or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 188Bet
Draw4.35 @ Marathonbet
Away4.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Betfair
No2.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gnistan = 1.36 (league 1.65), FF Jaro = 1.09 (league 1.65)

FF Jaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gnistan 0 8.6% 9.4% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.7% 12.8% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.0% 8.7% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 30.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1