Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 14:00 • Tammelan Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.83 (league 1.64) 0.80 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.5% 13.0% 7.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.7%
3 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mariehamn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilves 0 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.6% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.7% 8.5% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.1% 8.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.1% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIlvesMariehamn
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack36%32%
Defense72%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ilves Mariehamn
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins70%55%62%27%20%24%
Draws20%9%14%18%40%29%
Loses10%36%24%55%40%48%

Form: Ilves: WWWLLWLWDWWLWWDWWDLWW • Mariehamn: LWLLWLDWLDLWLDDDLDLWL

League goals

Metric Ilves Mariehamn
HATHAT
GF total212445141024
GF avg2.12.22.11.31.01.1
GA total131326242246
GA avg1.31.21.22.22.22.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIlvesMariehamn
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%57%76%76%
1.567%38%29%57%
2.538%19%10%29%
3.514%5%0%29%
4.55%5%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIlvesMariehamn
HATHAT
Clean sheets369235
Failed to score112325

Penalties

MetricIlvesMariehamn
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricIlvesMariehamn
Wins31
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-53-00-1
Biggest losses2-35-11-58-2
Goals For3532
Goals Against3558

Model comparison

MetricIlvesMariehamn
Form71%29%
Att53%47%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total67.3%32.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ilves or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.22 @ 1xBet
Draw7.13 @ Pinnacle
Away14.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ilves = 2.83 (league 1.64), Mariehamn = 0.80 (league 1.64)

Mariehamn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilves 0 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.6% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.7% 8.5% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.1% 8.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.1% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.5% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 7.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1