Sun, Sep 7 2025 • 14:00 • Malmö Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.65 (league 1.65) 0.98 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.5% 15.6% 11.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.3%
2 - 1
9.1%
3 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Skövde AIK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ariana 0 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.0% 6.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.2% 8.1% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArianaSkövde AIK
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack46%54%
Defense62%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ariana Skövde AIK
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins56%18%35%40%30%35%
Draws22%55%40%40%20%30%
Loses22%27%25%20%50%35%

Form: Ariana: WDWLDWDDWDLWDDLLWLWD • Skövde AIK: LDLDWWDLWDLWWLWDLLDW

League goals

Metric Ariana Skövde AIK
HATHAT
GF total171229201232
GF avg1.91.11.52.01.21.6
GA total101323172340
GA avg1.11.21.21.72.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArianaSkövde AIK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%60%85%75%
1.540%45%50%55%
2.530%10%20%40%
3.50%0%5%20%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArianaSkövde AIK
HATHAT
Clean sheets448325
Failed to score235123

Penalties

MetricArianaSkövde AIK
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricArianaSkövde AIK
Wins12
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-23-11-46-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against3346

Model comparison

MetricArianaSkövde AIK
Form58%42%
Att46%54%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Ariana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Betano
Draw4.40 @ Unibet
Away5.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ariana = 2.65 (league 1.65), Skövde AIK = 0.98 (league 1.34)

Skövde AIK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ariana 0 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.0% 6.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.2% 8.1% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.5% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 11.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1