Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 17:00 • Klostergårdens IP
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.61) 1.06 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.7% 27.0% 28.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
12.0%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Rosengård
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lund 0 8.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.0% 12.8% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.3% 8.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLundRosengård
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack46%38%
Defense23%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lund Rosengård
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins50%27%39%42%45%43%
Draws33%9%22%17%27%22%
Loses17%64%39%42%27%35%

Form: Lund: LWWWDDWLWDWWLWLDDLLWLLL • Rosengård: WWDWWDDLLWWLLWWLDWLLDLW

League goals

Metric Lund Rosengård
HATHAT
GF total201636131427
GF avg1.71.51.61.11.31.2
GA total132033141428
GA avg1.11.81.41.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLundRosengård
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%74%74%78%
1.548%48%35%26%
2.517%22%9%13%
3.54%0%0%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLundRosengård
HATHAT
Clean sheets516235
Failed to score134426

Penalties

MetricLundRosengård
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricLundRosengård
Wins32
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-53-10-2
Biggest losses1-33-01-34-1
Goals For3532
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricLundRosengård
Form43%57%
Att55%45%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h60%40%
Goals45%55%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Lund or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ 1xBet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lund = 1.37 (league 1.61), Rosengård = 1.06 (league 1.35)

Rosengård
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lund 0 8.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.0% 12.8% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.3% 8.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 28.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1