Ettan - Södra
— Sweden
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 17:00 •
Malmö Stadion
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.69)
1.22 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.2% | 22.2% | 24.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Lund | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ariana | 0 | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ariana | Lund |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 56% | 67% |
| Defense | 33% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ariana | Lund | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 55% | 15% | 33% | 54% | 27% | 42% |
| Draws | 27% | 46% | 38% | 31% | 9% | 21% |
| Loses | 18% | 38% | 29% | 15% | 64% | 38% |
Form: Ariana: WDWLDWDDWDLWDDLLWLWDDWLL • Lund: LWWWDDWLWDWWLWLDDLLWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Ariana | Lund | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 14 | 34 | 21 | 16 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 13 | 20 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ariana | Lund | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 67% | 83% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 46% | 46% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 8% | 17% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ariana | Lund | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ariana | Lund |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ariana | Lund |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ariana | Lund |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Ariana or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ariana = 1.92 (league 1.69), Lund = 1.22 (league 1.35)
| Lund | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ariana | 0 | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.2% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 24.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1