Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Södermalms IP
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.61) 1.66 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 21.9% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Skövde AIK 0 2.8% 4.7% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.4% 9.0% 7.4% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.3% 5.4% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.5% 2.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSkövde AIKLund
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack21%36%
Defense50%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Skövde AIK Lund
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%23%28%54%33%44%
Draws42%23%32%31%8%20%
Loses25%54%40%15%58%36%

Form: Skövde AIK: LDLDWWDLWDLWWLWDLLDWDLLDL • Lund: LWWWDDWLWDWWLWLDDLLWLLLWW

League goals

Metric Skövde AIK Lund
HATHAT
GF total211435211738
GF avg1.81.11.41.61.41.5
GA total192847132033
GA avg1.62.21.91.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSkövde AIKLund
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%76%84%68%
1.540%52%44%44%
2.516%36%16%20%
3.54%16%4%0%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSkövde AIKLund
HATHAT
Clean sheets426628
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricSkövde AIKLund
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSkövde AIKLund
Wins23
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-01-5
Biggest losses1-46-11-33-0
Goals For4235
Goals Against4633

Model comparison

MetricSkövde AIKLund
Form25%75%
Att38%63%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total52.3%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Skövde AIK or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Unibet
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away2.17 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ 188Bet
No2.47 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Skövde AIK = 1.90 (league 1.61), Lund = 1.66 (league 1.35)

Lund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Skövde AIK 0 2.8% 4.7% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.4% 9.0% 7.4% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.3% 5.4% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.5% 2.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 33.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1