Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • Kristinebergs IP
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.89) 1.32 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 19.0% 19.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 1
7.8%
3 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Stocksund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Karlberg 0 2.5% 3.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.9% 7.8% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.0% 9.3% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.6% 7.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKarlbergStocksund
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack50%50%
Defense25%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Karlberg Stocksund
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins20%50%35%60%20%40%
Draws40%10%25%0%0%0%
Loses40%40%40%40%80%60%

Form: Karlberg: LWWDWLWLDWDLDWLDLLLW • Stocksund: LLLLLWLWLLWWLWLWWLLW

League goals

Metric Karlberg Stocksund
HATHAT
GF total141630171330
GF avg1.41.61.51.71.31.5
GA total141529163248
GA avg1.41.51.51.63.22.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKarlbergStocksund
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%75%85%90%
1.545%35%45%70%
2.515%25%20%40%
3.55%10%0%25%
4.50%0%0%15%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKarlbergStocksund
HATHAT
Clean sheets145202
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricKarlbergStocksund
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricKarlbergStocksund
Wins22
Draws10
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-11-2
Biggest losses1-34-21-45-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against3445

Model comparison

MetricKarlbergStocksund
Form31%69%
Att50%50%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Karlberg or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.02 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Bwin

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Unibet
No2.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Karlberg = 2.37 (league 1.89), Stocksund = 1.32 (league 1.38)

Stocksund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Karlberg 0 2.5% 3.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.9% 7.8% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.0% 9.3% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.6% 7.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 19.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1