Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 10:00 • Umeå Energi Arena SOL
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.89) 2.60 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.9% 14.2% 72.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.3%
0 - 3
10.6%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Karlberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Team Thoren 0 3.6% 9.4% 12.3% 10.6% 6.9% 3.6%
1 2.6% 6.7% 8.8% 7.6% 5.0% 2.6%
2 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTeam ThorenKarlberg
Played55
Form0%60%
Attack21%63%
Defense5%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)18 | 3.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Team Thoren Karlberg
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins9%17%13%33%45%39%
Draws9%8%9%33%9%22%
Loses82%75%78%33%45%39%

Form: Team Thoren: LLLWDLLLWLDLLLWLLLLLLLL • Karlberg: LWWDWLWLDWDLDWLDLLLWWLW

League goals

Metric Team Thoren Karlberg
HATHAT
GF total101020211637
GF avg0.90.80.91.81.51.6
GA total262753181634
GA avg2.42.32.31.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTeam ThorenKarlberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%96%83%78%
1.517%61%48%39%
2.59%35%22%22%
3.54%22%9%9%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTeam ThorenKarlberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets011145
Failed to score3710224

Penalties

MetricTeam ThorenKarlberg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTeam ThorenKarlberg
Wins12
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-44-10-2
Biggest losses0-56-01-34-2
Goals For2443
Goals Against5634

Model comparison

MetricTeam ThorenKarlberg
Form0%100%
Att25%75%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total36.6%63.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Karlberg and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.40 @ 1xBet
Draw5.35 @ Pinnacle
Away1.35 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Unibet
No2.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Team Thoren = 0.72 (league 1.89), Karlberg = 2.60 (league 1.38)

Karlberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Team Thoren 0 3.6% 9.4% 12.3% 10.6% 6.9% 3.6%
1 2.6% 6.7% 8.8% 7.6% 5.0% 2.6%
2 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.9% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 72.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1