Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 • Umeå Energi Arena SOL
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.87) 1.35 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.6% 27.6% 45.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Gefle IF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Team Thoren 0 9.9% 13.4% 9.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.6% 6.2% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTeam ThorenGefle IF
Played55
Form0%53%
Attack31%63%
Defense0%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)20 | 46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Team Thoren Gefle IF
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins8%17%13%33%17%25%
Draws8%8%8%42%25%33%
Loses83%75%79%25%58%42%

Form: Team Thoren: LLLWDLLLWLDLLLWLLLLLLLLL • Gefle IF: LWLLWLDWDLDLDLDDLWLWWLDD

League goals

Metric Team Thoren Gefle IF
HATHAT
GF total12102221930
GF avg1.00.80.91.80.81.3
GA total302757132235
GA avg2.52.32.41.11.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTeam ThorenGefle IF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%96%75%83%
1.521%63%25%50%
2.58%38%8%8%
3.54%25%8%4%
4.50%13%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTeam ThorenGefle IF
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score3710156

Penalties

MetricTeam ThorenGefle IF
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTeam ThorenGefle IF
Wins12
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-45-10-1
Biggest losses0-56-01-24-1
Goals For2452
Goals Against5624

Model comparison

MetricTeam ThorenGefle IF
Form0%100%
Att33%67%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h0%100%
Goals13%87%
Total27.8%72.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gefle IF

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.90 @ Pinnacle
Away1.44 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Team Thoren = 0.96 (league 1.87), Gefle IF = 1.35 (league 1.48)

Gefle IF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Team Thoren 0 9.9% 13.4% 9.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.6% 6.2% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 45.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1