Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 11:00 • Stadshagens IP
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.89) 2.49 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 18.9% 50.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.9%
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 3
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Vasalund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Karlberg 0 1.5% 3.7% 4.6% 3.8% 2.4% 1.2%
1 2.5% 6.4% 7.9% 6.6% 4.1% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.5% 6.8% 5.7% 3.5% 1.8%
3 1.3% 3.1% 3.9% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKarlbergVasalund
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack71%76%
Defense53%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Karlberg Vasalund
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%46%40%62%50%56%
Draws33%15%24%23%8%16%
Loses33%38%36%15%42%28%

Form: Karlberg: LWWDWLWLDWDLDWLDLLLWWLWWD • Vasalund: WLWWDLWWWWLLWDWDWLWWWLWLD

League goals

Metric Karlberg Vasalund
HATHAT
GF total212142312758
GF avg1.81.61.72.42.32.3
GA total181937112233
GA avg1.51.51.50.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKarlbergVasalund
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%80%88%64%
1.548%40%64%32%
2.524%20%40%24%
3.512%8%24%8%
4.50%0%12%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKarlbergVasalund
HATHAT
Clean sheets145549
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricKarlbergVasalund
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricKarlbergVasalund
Wins24
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-46-00-5
Biggest losses1-34-21-35-1
Goals For4465
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricKarlbergVasalund
Form59%41%
Att48%52%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h40%60%
Goals45%55%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vasalund and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ 188Bet
No2.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Karlberg = 1.72 (league 1.89), Vasalund = 2.49 (league 1.38)

Vasalund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Karlberg 0 1.5% 3.7% 4.6% 3.8% 2.4% 1.2%
1 2.5% 6.4% 7.9% 6.6% 4.1% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.5% 6.8% 5.7% 3.5% 1.8%
3 1.3% 3.1% 3.9% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 50.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1