Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:30 • Midgardsvallen
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.87) 0.76 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.0% 18.1% 11.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Team Thoren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arlanda 0 5.2% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.4% 8.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.3% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.1% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArlandaTeam Thoren
Played55
Form40%0%
Attack36%29%
Defense36%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.818 | 3.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arlanda Team Thoren
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins50%23%36%8%17%12%
Draws25%23%24%8%8%8%
Loses25%54%40%85%75%80%

Form: Arlanda: LLWDDLWDWLDWLLDLWWWDWLWLL • Team Thoren: LLLWDLLLWLDLLLWLLLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Arlanda Team Thoren
HATHAT
GF total211132121022
GF avg1.80.81.30.90.80.9
GA total171835312758
GA avg1.41.41.42.42.32.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArlandaTeam Thoren
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%80%56%96%
1.536%40%20%60%
2.512%16%8%36%
3.58%4%4%24%
4.58%0%0%12%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArlandaTeam Thoren
HATHAT
Clean sheets325011
Failed to score3694711

Penalties

MetricArlandaTeam Thoren
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricArlandaTeam Thoren
Wins31
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-31-32-10-4
Biggest losses0-23-00-56-0
Goals For5324
Goals Against4356

Model comparison

MetricArlandaTeam Thoren
Form100%0%
Att56%44%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total65.3%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : Arlanda or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ William Hill
Draw6.43 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Betano
No1.95 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arlanda = 2.21 (league 1.87), Team Thoren = 0.76 (league 1.48)

Team Thoren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arlanda 0 5.2% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.4% 8.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.3% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.1% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.0% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 11.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1