Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 17:00 • Hammarby IP
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.89) 0.81 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.9% 21.5% 15.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.6%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Karlberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hammarby Talang 0 6.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 10.2% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.7% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.6% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHammarby TalangKarlberg
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack58%47%
Defense68%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hammarby Talang Karlberg
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins77%46%62%31%46%38%
Draws15%31%23%38%15%27%
Loses8%23%15%31%38%35%

Form: Hammarby Talang: WWDWWLWWDWWLWLWDDWWWDDWLWW • Karlberg: LWWDWLWLDWDLDWLDLLLWWLWWDD

League goals

Metric Hammarby Talang Karlberg
HATHAT
GF total312051212142
GF avg2.41.52.01.61.61.6
GA total91726181937
GA avg0.71.31.01.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHammarby TalangKarlberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%73%81%77%
1.562%23%46%38%
2.538%4%23%19%
3.58%0%12%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHammarby TalangKarlberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets527246
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricHammarby TalangKarlberg
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricHammarby TalangKarlberg
Wins32
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-34-12-4
Biggest losses0-13-11-34-2
Goals For4344
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricHammarby TalangKarlberg
Form56%44%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Hammarby Talang or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Superbet
Draw5.13 @ Pinnacle
Away6.47 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.23 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hammarby Talang = 1.91 (league 1.89), Karlberg = 0.81 (league 1.38)

Karlberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hammarby Talang 0 6.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 10.2% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.7% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.6% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.9% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 15.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1