Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 • Midgardsvallen
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.87) 2.22 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.6% 20.2% 45.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.0%
1 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
IF Karlstad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arlanda 0 1.8% 4.0% 4.5% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
1 3.2% 7.2% 8.0% 5.9% 3.3% 1.5%
2 2.9% 6.4% 7.2% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3%
3 1.7% 3.8% 4.3% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.8% 1.7% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArlandaIF Karlstad
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack50%54%
Defense58%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arlanda IF Karlstad
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins57%29%43%50%57%54%
Draws21%21%21%29%14%21%
Loses21%50%36%21%29%25%

Form: Arlanda: LLWDDLWDWLDWLLDLWWWDWLWLLWWW • IF Karlstad: WDLLWWWWWWDWLLDDWWLLLWDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Arlanda IF Karlstad
HATHAT
GF total291443273158
GF avg2.11.01.51.92.22.1
GA total211940132235
GA avg1.51.41.40.91.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArlandaIF Karlstad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%82%89%75%
1.543%39%54%32%
2.521%18%36%14%
3.514%4%18%4%
4.57%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArlandaIF Karlstad
HATHAT
Clean sheets325527
Failed to score369213

Penalties

MetricArlandaIF Karlstad
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricArlandaIF Karlstad
Wins36
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-37-11-4
Biggest losses0-23-02-33-1
Goals For5374
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricArlandaIF Karlstad
Form41%59%
Att48%52%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total38.8%61.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or IF Karlstad and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.08 @ 1xBet
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away2.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arlanda = 1.79 (league 1.87), IF Karlstad = 2.22 (league 1.48)

IF Karlstad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arlanda 0 1.8% 4.0% 4.5% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
1 3.2% 7.2% 8.0% 5.9% 3.3% 1.5%
2 2.9% 6.4% 7.2% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3%
3 1.7% 3.8% 4.3% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.8% 1.7% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 45.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1